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summary: Annual Fire Probability 2026-2050 (Percent)
tags: ["Fire Probability"]
snippet: Annual Fire Probability 2026-2050 (Percent)
type: Map Service
url:
accessInformation: Source Data Reference: Mann, M.L., Batllori, E., Moritz, M.A., Waller, E.K., Berck, P., Flint, A.L., Flint, L.E. and Dolfi, E., 2016. Incorporating anthropogenic influences into fire probability models: effects of human activity and climate change on fire activity in California. PloS one, 11(4), p.e0153589.
guid: 4E92B4D7-9830-4B7A-88A5-698DF13CFDDA
title: DRAFT Fire Probability
catalogPath:
thumbnail: thumbnail/thumbnail.png
extent: [[-124.602502485642,32.3025453093403],[-113.052004918819,43.3625398310671]]
description: Annual probability of fire occurrence, derived from Mann et al. (2016) projections for 2026-2050. Source data represents projected mean fire return intervals, derived under A2 scenario in both GFDL and PCM climate models. MFRI for two scenarios was combined by taking minimum for each cell, inverted to get annual probability, then multiplied by 100 to get percent value.
name: FireProbability
licenseInfo:
typeKeywords: ["Data","Service","Map Service","ArcGIS Server"]
spatialReference: NAD_1983_California_Teale_Albers
culture: en-US